A última enquisa de Lord Ashcroft acaba de ser publicada. E como na anterior, os resultados do SNP nas vindeiras Eleccións Xerais en Reino Unido, preséntanse como únicos e históricos. De feito, de 59 deputados para Escocia, 56 irían hipotéticamente a parar ao Scottish National Party.
Lord Ashcroft amosa que os laboristas e os conservadores mantéñense á par no contexto global de Reino Unido, mais en Escocia, e perdendo con rotundidade os escanos de Gordon Brown e Alistair Darling (as cabezas mais visibles do Better Together), só o escano de Jim Murphy, o presente lider do Scottish Labour, parece salvarse da queima polos pelos.
Brown e Darling xa anunciaron que non repetirían como candidatos nas súas circunscripcións; pero Glasgow xa ten cor amarela, e o que antes eran bastións laboristas, son agora potenciais feudos do SNP.
Duro golpe para os xa chamados "Red Tories" que maila ter todos os medios de comunicación ao seu lado, non deixan de cometer erros estratéxicos que lles impiden acadar unha recuperación en aceptación social.
http://pilaraymara.blogspot.com.es/2015/02/o-laborismo-escoces-o-voto-tactico-e.html
http://pilaraymara.blogspot.com.es/2015/03/gordon-ten-un-plan-fundedbytheukgovernm.html
My presentation, plus all the data from my English and Scottish marginals polls, now at Lord Ashcroft Polls: http://t.co/BlEpjaMRan
— Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) marzo 4, 2015
Voces do SNP, ainda que a valoran positivamente, chaman a continuar o arduo traballo e non tomar por garante os resultados desta enquisa que todo o mundo respeta, pero que non deixa de ser unha enquisa. O vindeiro 7 de maio serán as votacións e ese será o resultado válido.
Lord Ashcrotf Polls:
Encouraging Ashcroft #GE15 polls show surge in 'No' & 'Yes' voting areas- but SNP taking nothing for granted http://t.co/3Fjyt2qvO9 #VoteSNP
— The SNP (@theSNP) marzo 4, 2015
Hugely encouraging polling for @theSNP in polling by @LordAshcroft. Activists taking nothing for granted & working hard for #GE15 #voteSNP
— Angus Robertson (@MorayMP) marzo 4, 2015
The Ashcroft polls are only potential. @theSNP activists must work like never before to turn that potential into seats. #GE15 #voteSNP
— Stewart Hosie (@StewartHosieMP) marzo 4, 2015
Lord Ashcrotf Polls:
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/03/campaign-state-play-plus-latest-marginals/#more-7639
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/MAA-4-March-presentation-for-website.pdf
Media// Prensa:
http://www.thenational.scot/politics/new-ashcroft-polls-suggest-snp-landslide-with-50-plus-seats.793
http://www.thenational.scot/politics/analysis-methodology-may-even-mean-scotlands-ruling-party-is-being-underestimated.781
http://www.thenational.scot/politics/poll-analysis-methodology-may-even-mean-scotlands-ruling-party-is-being-underestimated.796
http://www.thenational.scot/comment/the-national-view-the-labour-party-in-scotland-should-pack-for-a-long-stay-in-the-wilderness.794
http://www.thenational.scot/politics/analysis-methodology-may-even-mean-scotlands-ruling-party-is-being-underestimated.781
http://www.thenational.scot/politics/poll-analysis-methodology-may-even-mean-scotlands-ruling-party-is-being-underestimated.796
http://www.thenational.scot/comment/the-national-view-the-labour-party-in-scotland-should-pack-for-a-long-stay-in-the-wilderness.794
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-31738358
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/04/snp-set-for-56-of-59-scottish-seats-in-general-election-poll-suggests
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/04/snp-set-for-56-of-59-scottish-seats-in-general-election-poll-suggests
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